Nairobi, Kenya
Projection · SSP2-4.5 · 2050s
18out of 100
Low
Nairobi holds at Low risk through the 2050s, but the balance between hazards shifts.
Emissions stay near today's levels into mid-century, then decline. Roughly where current policy points.
Extreme Heat
0 days above 95°F (range 0–1)
Medium confidence
Heavy Rain & Flood
1.6 days above 1 in. rain (range 0.6–2.6)
Medium confidence
Drought & Water Stress
Longest dry spell 36 days (range 28–43)
Medium confidence
Wildfire & Smoke
4.4 high fire-weather days (range 3.4–5.4)
Medium confidence
Coastal Flood & HurricaneNot applicable here